HedgeCoin

Contact

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gary [at] hedgecoin.net

Details

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HedgeCoin should be understood as a high-risk, early-stage bet on a new category of blockchain asset: a counter-cyclical prediction-access network. The core thesis is not that HGC is guaranteed to rise in bear markets, or that it is already a safe haven. The thesis is that HedgeCoin’s architecture creates a specific mechanism most crypto assets do not have: access to scarce, valuable predictions is allocated to the top N HGC stakers. In periods of market stress, demand for accurate predictions, volatility forecasts, downside-risk intelligence, relative-value signals, and hedging information should tend to increase. Because access is obtained by acquiring and staking HGC, that increased demand is routed into competition for HGC stake, while the staked HGC is removed from liquid circulation. That demand-and-float-compression loop is the heart of the proposed counter-cyclical mechanism.

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White Paper

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HedgeCoin: A Counter-Cyclical Market for Verifiable Prediction Skill

A short white paper.

Read the full HedgeCoin white paper as a PDF.

HedgeCoin is a high-risk bet on two linked ideas. The first is that the ability to forecast markets — today locked inside a handful of institutions — can be opened to anyone, scored objectively, and turned into a directly monetizable asset. The second is that demand for that forecasting, and therefore for the token that gates access to it, is counter-cyclical: it rises precisely when markets fall. Together they describe a single two-sided market, built on proven blockchain technology, in which prediction skill is supplied, priced, and consumed.

Who We Are

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At this point, we are just the present writer, Gary Robinson. My aim is to find a partner, or perhaps a venture studio or hedge fund, interested in helping me build HedgeCoin.

Some bio for me appears on my personal site. But to summarize a few aspects:

From all available info, it appears that I was the first person to conceive of the tracking cookie and have it working in the lab, by November 19, 1995. Google owns my patent describing it (5,918,014), and as recently as the early 2020s, Google and Twitter were still using it in defensive litigation where someone comes out of nowhere and tries to sue for patent infringement; because my priority date always turns out to be earlier.